Saturday, May 23, 2026


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Defending the country, not Duterte, and the spirit of EDSA 

A veteran journalist and book author observes: “What’s missing is the context; we can only report what happened because we’re not being stopped from reporting it, because Duterte really wants to report it …but don’t just say that what he’s doing is wrong, that extrajudicial killing shouldn’t be done in our society.” 

And what the Filipino writer Vergel O. Santos adds is more timely, one that is more for the world to take note of: “Everything I heard from (International Criminal Court lead defense counsel) Nicholas Kaufman, I’ve heard from Duterte’s trolls; nothing new.” (Originally, the first two quotes are: “Lahat ng narinig ko kay Kaufman, narinig ko na sa linya ng mga trolls ni Duterte; wala namang bago” and “Ang kulang ay ang konteksto; nairereport lang natin ang nangyari dahil hindi naman tayo pinipigilang ireport yun, dahil gusto naman talaga ni Duterte na ireport yun… pero huwag mo lang sasabihin na hindi tama yung ginagawa niya, na ang extrajudicial killing eh hindi dapat ginagawa dito sa ating sociedad.”)

The world should know that those trolls are defending not the Philippines, but its former leader. There’s a lot of money being poured into these rabid supporters, according to Santos. For Kaufman? That’s a 2.5-million-dollar question. He is defending Duterte at the ICC which for days has conducted a pre-trial relative to the ongoing investigation of the war on drugs and has pleaded the court judges to allow his client to come back to the Philippines, seeking for his interim release as he claims that Duterte is not fit to stand trial.

“I could die in prison,” Duterte is quoted as saying. Kaufman’s request therefore is to let Duterte “return to the Philippines, not to govern, but simply to let him live out the rest of his days in peace in his humble dwelling in Davao.”

Kaufman begs the judges not to confirm any of Duterte’s charges, but let’s hear the opening statements of Joel Butuyan, common legal representative of the victims:

“This case symbolically represents the last boat that the victims can board to go on a journey in search of justice for their loved ones who were brutally killed upon orders of Mr. Duterte. If this chamber prevents the boat from sailing by not confirming the charges, the victims will forever be moored in an island where the nights are filled with the screams and cries of their massacred loved ones. There is absolutely no other recourse for the victims. 

“No less than former Philippine Justice Secretary Crispin Remulla admitted just a few months ago that the door to domestic justice is permanently closed for victims of the Duterte (EJKs). Remulla declared, and we quote, It is difficult to prove the case here and build up the case, because those who need to speak are involved in the crime. There’s nothing, not even a police report. You don’t have a scene of the crime, you don’t have ballistics, you don’t have DNA. Remulla further declared, and I quote, Everything that could be erased was erased so that the cases would not push through. That is why this has reached the ICC …If the charges are not confirmed in this case, one of the gravest concerns of the victims is that Mr. Duterte will return to the Philippines as a conquering hero. He will resume preaching his gospel of impunity. In fact, if Mr. Duterte could threaten to slap the judges of this court, which he did while he was president, this chamber should imagine the kind of terror-filled threats and the violent actions that can easily be used against the victims if the suspect walks free from this court.

“If the charges are not confirmed, it is a very serious concern of the victims that Mr. Duterte will be portrayed in history by his multitude of followers as the leader who vanquished the ICC and who cleansed his country of 30,000 rapists, murderers, and dangerous criminals, which were the scornful words he sweepingly used against all those who were killed in his murderous spree.

“Your Honors, Mr. Duterte has been in detention here in The Hague for almost a year now, but there has been no peace and rest for the victims. From the time their loved ones were killed and continuously up to this time, they lived in constant fear for their lives.

“The arrest and detention of Mr. Duterte has not stopped impunity in the Philippines. The virus of impunity that he spread all over the country has become a cancer that has metastasized, infecting millions of Filipinos. Mr. Duterte has created clones of himself. He converted millions of peace-loving citizens into bloodthirsty disciples who have become converts to the belief that violence and killings are valid solutions to societal problems. The killings masterminded by Mr. Duterte continue to have consequences for the victims, even to this day, because of his clones. These mini-Duttertes harass, threaten, or commit outright violence against the victims and their families …Many of these mini-Dutertes or Duterte clones are actually victims of massive doses of fake news widely circulated online. They need to be vaccinated with the truth, and the truth vaccine can only come from the testimonies of victims and evidence presented in a trial before this court. Truth is the antidote to the virus of impunity, Your Honors.

“Imagine a leader like Mr. Duterte, who proudly and publicly proclaimed his aspirations of following the footsteps of Adolf Hitler when he said, quote: ‘Hitler massacred 3 million Jews. Now, there are 3 million drug addicts. I’d be happy to slaughter them,’ unquote …Finally Your Honors, the victims wish to humbly underline that what is ultimately at stake in these proceedings is the supreme of all forms of human rights, the right to life. The right to life is the very foundation of every civilized society …Our ancestors fought in the battlefield to secure a right to life. In these modern times the battleground for the fight to protect our right to life is within the four walls of this Honorable Court.

“May the God of life, the God of humanity guide the Honorable Members of this Chamber.” 

EDSA Cuarenta 

The spirit of the People Power Revolution or EDSA I was rooted in the resistance to the clear violation of the 1973 Constitution–we had to violate it–and the widespread abuse of power during the dictatorship of Ferdinand Marcos. It was a historic uprising of the people to demand the return of democracy and respect for human rights. On the other hand, EDSA II occurred in a different context, not as a blatant violation of the 1987 Constitution but as a result of the political and moral crisis that originated in the leadership of Joseph Estrada. This difference is important to understand so as not to confuse the two events with different legal and historical bases: the first one being extra-constitutional and the second one being intra-constitutional (within the Constitution) per the landmark 13-0 decision of the Supreme Court in Estrada vs Desierto (2001). 

We keep on repeating that EDSA did not fail us; we fail it if we do not continue the lessons and frameworks of a regime of truth, justice, and equality it left behind. The most important result of EDSA I was the creation and ratification of the 1987 Constitution, which serves as the backbone of our democracy. It is up to us to operate and defend the institutions it established such as free elections, a free press (BTW, shame on Kaufman for accusing the media of having a “complete disregard of the evidence,” a “familiar theme” which is that his client “is finally behind bars where he belongs”) and the system of checks and balances so that bloodshed and repression will not be repeated. Above all, civil society, academia, the church, workers, and youth must stay vigilant because the true spirit of EDSA is not just a day of uprising, but an ongoing responsible citizenship.

Strait of Hormuz closed, Iran warns of attack on ships trying to pass

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates — Iran’s hardline Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has declared the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed to international navigation and warned that any vessel attempting to transit the strategic waterway would be attacked and set ablaze, according to state media and defense officials.

Ebrahim Jabari, senior adviser to the IRGC’s commander‑in‑chief, reiterated the warning on Monday, saying the Guard and the regular navy would target ships trying to pass through the strait, a key chokepoint through which about one‑fifth of the world’s crude oil supply is transported.

Jabari also threatened attacks on oil infrastructure and predicted a sharp rise in energy prices, claiming Tehran would prevent “a single drop of oil” from leaving the region.

Escalating Conflict and Shipping Disruptions

The announcement comes amid the most severe escalation between Iran, the United States, and Israel in years following airstrikes by Washington and Tel Aviv that targeted Iranian leadership and military assets. Iran’s retaliation has seen missile strikes against US military bases and attacks on oil and gas facilities throughout the Gulf region.

Global shipping has responded to the heightened risk: several major carriers — including container shipping giant Maersk — have suspended vessel transits through the Strait of Hormuz, citing safety concerns, and rerouted ships around alternative routes such as around Africa’s Cape of Good Hope.

Maritime security agencies have reported multiple vessels in the region struck by unknown projectiles, and at least one fuel tanker was reported ablaze after a drone strike in the strait.

Legal Status of the Strait

While Iran’s IRGC asserts the strait is “closed,” international and maritime authorities stress that the Strait of Hormuz remains international waters, and there has been no recognized legal blockade. Broadcasts warning ships not to enter have been received by vessels, but such messages are not legally binding under international law, maritime experts say.

Nevertheless, commercial traffic has plunged, with many tankers either holding position, turning back, or anchoring pending developments.

Global Market Impact

The disruption has already rippled through global markets: Brent crude jumped sharply as tanker movements slowed, and war‑risk insurance coverage is being withdrawn by major underwriters, raising costs for any shipping in the Gulf region.

Analysts warn that if traffic through the strait remains severely restricted for an extended period, crude prices could exceed US$100 per barrel, with broader knock‑on effects on inflation, freight costs and energy security worldwide.

Regional and International Responses

The United States Central Command has publicly stated that the strait is not officially closed and reiterated its commitment to maintaining freedom of navigation, while warnings from Greek and other maritime authorities urge flag states to avoid the region where possible due to elevated military risk.

As tensions continue to escalate in the Middle East, international trade routes and energy markets remain on alert, prompting calls for diplomatic engagement even as military confrontations unfold.

OFW nasugatan sa pagsabog ng bomba sa Kuwait airport

Isang overseas Filipino worker (OFW) ang nagtamo ng mga sugat sa leeg matapos ang isang pagsabog sa isang airport sa Kuwait, sa gitna ng lumalalang tensyon sa pagitan ng Estados Unidos at Iran, ayon sa Department of Migrant Workers (DMW) nitong Martes.

Ayon kay DMW Secretary Hans Leo J. Cacdac, ang OFW ay nagtatrabaho sa Kuwaiti airport at nalabas na ng ospital matapos maitalang ligtas ngunit may mga minor injuries.

“Meron isang OFW nagtatrabaho sa Kuwaiti airport, very minor injuries. Neck wounds ang natamo. At nakalabas na rin sa hospital,” ani Cacdac sa isang panayam ng GMA Integrated News’ Unang Balita.

Noong nakaraang araw, kinumpirma rin ni Pangulo Ferdinand Marcos Jr. ang pagkamatay ng isang Filipino caregiver sa Israel na nasawi sa isang airstrike.

Sa kasalukuyan, tinatayang mga 100 Pilipino sa Dubai at Israel ang nagpahayag ng hangaring bumalik sa Pilipinas, ayon kay Cacdac. Bagama’t wala pang opisyal na mandatory repatriation, patuloy na tinutugunan ng DMW ang mga indibidwal na kahilingan para sa pagbabalik-bansa habang pinag-aaralan ang sitwasyon sa ground level.

Ayon sa kalihim, hindi pa panahon para sa malawakang repatriation dahil sa ilang pansamantalang pagsasara ng airspace at pagkaantala ng mga flight. Bukod dito, patuloy rin ang tulong ng DMW sa mga Pilipino na naapektuhan ng canceled flights sa Pilipinas at sa ibang mga transit hub tulad ng Hong Kong.

Para sa mga Pilipinong nasa Pilipinas na nakatakdang bumalik sa trabaho sa Middle East, tiniyak ni Cacdac na kaligtasan ang pangunahing prayoridad ng gobyerno. Pinayuhan niya ang mga apektadong manggagawa na manatili muna sa kanilang pamilya habang patuloy na sinusuri ng mga awtoridad ang sitwasyon.

Oil surges, stock futures slump as markets react to Iran war

Global oil prices soared while U.S. stock futures tumbled Monday as markets reacted to the escalating U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran and Tehran’s retaliatory strikes on major oil-producing Middle Eastern states allied with Washington. President Donald Trump warned the conflict could last up to five weeks.

Attacks on Key Energy Infrastructure

Saudi Arabia’s Ras Tanura oil refinery, one of the world’s largest, came under an aerial drone attack Monday. Authorities intercepted the incoming drones, but debris caused limited damage. Thick black smoke was reported rising from the facility, prompting a precautionary shutdown, according to the Saudi Energy Ministry.

In Oman, a Marshall Islands-flagged oil tanker was struck by a drone boat carrying explosives off the coast of Muscat, killing an Indian crew member. The unmanned vessel exploded and triggered a fire onboard, according to Oman’s state news agency.

QatarEnergy announced a full halt to its liquefied natural gas production amid the conflict, citing attacks on its facilities. As the world’s largest LNG producer, the suspension threatens up to 20% of global output, according to Bloomberg analyst Javier Blas.

Disrupted Shipping and Rising Fuel Costs

The conflict has also disrupted shipping traffic through the strategic Strait of Hormuz. The U.K. Maritime Trade Operations reported “significant military activity,” with projectiles striking vessels near Sharjah, UAE, and the Port of Bahrain. Some tanker crossings continue under AIS deactivation, particularly for product tankers, Blas noted.

Rising crude prices are expected to push U.S. gasoline prices above $3 per gallon this week. AAA reported a national average of $2.997 per gallon Monday, up from $2.938 last week, with Petroleum Analyst Patrick de Haan warning further increases are likely.

The widening conflict has not only heightened geopolitical tensions but also sent global energy markets into volatility, underscoring the vulnerability of oil supply chains in the Middle East.

Middle East war widens as Iran, Israel and U.S. clash

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates — The conflict between Iran, Israel, and the United States has escalated sharply, spreading across multiple fronts in the Middle East and disrupting global trade and energy markets. Coordinated Israeli and U.S. strikes on Iranian military sites have been met with missile and drone attacks targeting Israel, Gulf Arab states, and U.S. forces in the region.

The intensification follows a joint U.S.–Israeli operation that reportedly killed Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and several senior Iranian commanders over the weekend, deepening regional instability.

CIVILIAN AND MILITARY CASUALTIES

Casualty reports continue to mount. According to the Iranian Red Crescent Society, at least 555 people have died in Iran, with over 130 cities reportedly affected by U.S.-Israeli strikes. In Israel, 11 fatalities were confirmed, including nine killed in a missile strike on a synagogue in Beit Shemesh. Lebanon reported 31 deaths from Israeli retaliatory strikes.

Hezbollah’s missile and drone attacks on Israel marked its first publicly claimed offensive in more than a year. Lebanon’s Prime Minister Nawaf Salam denounced the action as illegal, emphasizing that only the state can declare war or peace and urging the Lebanese military to detain those responsible.

FRIENDLY FIRE INCIDENT: U.S. JETS DOWNED

A dramatic development occurred in Kuwait, where three U.S. F‑15E Strike Eagle jets were mistakenly shot down by Kuwaiti air defenses amid intense operations involving Iranian aircraft, missiles, and drones. All six pilots safely ejected and are in stable condition, according to U.S. Central Command. Smoke was reported rising from the U.S. Embassy compound in Kuwait, though details are limited.

The incident underscores the chaotic conditions in Gulf airspace, where multiple military actors operate in close proximity. U.S. President Donald Trump stated that strikes on Iran could continue for “four to five weeks” and confirmed that U.S. forces have “largely destroyed” parts of Iran’s naval and military infrastructure.

ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE AND GLOBAL IMPACT

The conflict has had immediate effects on global energy markets:

  • Iran declared the Strait of Hormuz “closed”, threatening to attack any vessel attempting transit. This chokepoint handles roughly 20% of global oil trade.
  • Saudi Arabia’s Ras Tanura refinery, one of the world’s largest, was struck by drones. While Saudi defenses intercepted the aircraft, debris caused damage and a temporary shutdown.
  • A Marshall Islands-flagged oil tanker in the Gulf of Oman was hit by a bomb-laden drone boat, killing one Indian crew member.
  • QatarEnergy halted liquefied natural gas production, removing a major supplier from the global market indefinitely.

These disruptions have driven oil and gas prices sharply higher, with insurers reassessing war-risk coverage for Gulf shipping.

NUCLEAR SITE ALLEGATIONS

Iran’s ambassador to the International Atomic Energy Agency, Reza Najafi, alleged that U.S.-Israeli strikes targeted the Natanz nuclear enrichment facility, describing it as “peaceful and safeguarded.” Neither Washington nor Jerusalem confirmed the claims, though Israel maintains it is targeting Iranian leadership and nuclear infrastructure.

BROADER REGIONAL ESCALATION

Drone and missile attacks have been reported in the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Iraq, with Shiite militias claiming responsibility for assaults on U.S. bases in Baghdad and Irbil. Cyprus reported minor damage to a British air base after a drone strike, following pledges from Prime Minister Keir Starmer to assist the U.S.

CIVILIAN PROTECTION AND HUMANITARIAN CONCERNS

Tehran’s streets remained largely deserted, with security checkpoints across the capital. Air raid sirens sounded in Jerusalem and other Israeli cities as missile defenses intercepted projectiles.

The World Health Organization urged all parties to protect civilians and healthcare facilities. “The protection of civilians and health care must be absolute,” said WHO regional director Hanan Balkhy.

OUTLOOK

With military operations intensifying, the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed, and energy markets under strain, the war threatens to reshape the strategic balance of the Middle East. Diplomatic efforts remain limited as combat operations continue at full force, leaving global observers concerned about the duration and scope of the conflict.

Pilipinas nananatiling alerto para sa mga Pinoy sa Israel at Iran sa gitna ng labanan

Manatiling nasa alert level ang mga Filipino sa Israel at Iran sa gitna ng mga air strike ng U.S. at Israel laban sa Iran, kasabay ng mga retaliatory strike ng Tehran sa mga kaalyado ng dalawang bansa sa Gitnang Silangan.

Ayon sa Department of Foreign Affairs (DFA), ang patakaran nito ay nakabatay sa pagsusuri ng mga diplomat sa Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Gaza, West Bank, Lebanon, Syria, at Yemen. Nanatiling nasa alert level 2 ang Israel at Iran, nangangahulugang pinapayuhan ang mga Filipino na manatili sa ligtas na lugar at iwasan ang mga high-risk na lugar. Ang mga nagbabalak bumiyahe ay hinihikayat na maging mas maingat.

Ang alert levels sa ibang lugar ay:

  • Jordan – Level 1
  • Iran – Level 2
  • Israel – Level 2
  • West Bank – Level 2
  • Kurdistan – Level 2
  • Iraq – Level 3
  • Lebanon – Level 3
  • Gaza – Level 4
  • Syria – Level 4
  • Yemen – Level 4

Hindi pa inilalabas ng DFA ang alert levels para sa Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Oman, at Bahrain, na apektado rin ng mga retaliatory strike ng Iran.

Mga Antas ng Alerto

  • Alert Level 1 (Precautionary) – May senyales ng kaguluhan o limitadong banta; pinapayuhan ang mga Filipino na mag-ingat at iwasan ang hindi kinakailangang paggalaw.
  • Alert Level 2 (Restriction) – Lumalaganap ang kaguluhan o banta; pinapayuhan ang mga Filipino na manatili sa ligtas na lugar at iwasan ang high-risk areas. Ang embahada/consulate ay nag-aactivate ng contingency plan.
  • Alert Level 3 (Voluntary Repatriation) – Malaking banta o paglala ng kaguluhan; hinihikayat ang mga Filipino na lumikas o bumiyahe pabalik sa Pilipinas.
  • Alert Level 4 (Mandatory Evacuation) – Malawakang civil conflict o ganap na atake; pinapayuhan ang lahat na lumikas at sumunod sa government-led repatriation efforts.

Mahigit sa 2.4 milyong Filipino ang naninirahan at nagtatrabaho sa Middle East, kaya’t malaking hamon ang kanilang kaligtasan at ang logistical na aspeto ng posibleng evacuation. Patuloy ding mahalaga ang remittances mula sa mga OFW sa pagpapanatili ng ekonomiya ng Pilipinas.

Mga Paalala sa Mga Filipino

Pinapayuhan ang mga Filipino sa apektadong rehiyon na:

  • Sundin ang mga advisories ng host government
  • Manatiling alerto at maingat
  • I-obserba ang lahat ng travel advisories

Mahahalagang Hotline at Tulong ng DFA para sa mga OFW

UAE (Abu Dhabi, Dubai at Northern Emirates)

  • +971 56 270 9157 / +971 54 725 8482 / +971 50 443 8003 / +971 54 557 2121 / +971 56 353 5558 / +971 56 501 5756 / +971 50 558 5536

Saudi Arabia (Riyadh, Eastern at Western Regions)

  • +966 56 989 3301 / +966 50 285 0944 / +966 56 232 9926 / +966 56 981 9720 / +966 55 521 9613

Qatar

  • +974 5118 4242 / +974 3318 2459

Bahrain

  • +973 3995 3235 / +973 3303 5600 / +973 3725 8755 / +973 6670 5058

Iran

  • +989 122 1368 01
  • Email: tehran.pe@dfa.gov.ph
  • FB: /PHinIran | IG: /phliniran

Iraq – +964 783 700 5457
Israel – +972 54 466 1188 / +972 50 911 4017 / +972 50 762 2590 / +972 50 715 6937 / Trunk: +972 3 601 0500
Jordan – +962 7 8519 1891 / +962 7 8149 1183 / +962 7 7907 7775 / +962 7 7907 7778 / +962 7 7798 8818
Kuwait – +965 6500 2612 / +965 9403 9063 / +965 6040 3858 / +965 6558 5355 / X: @PHinKUWAIT
Lebanon – +70 858 086 / +79 110 729
Oman – +968 9137 4559 / +968 9355 7931 / +968 7990 5211 / +968 7965 7754
Syria – +963 949 155 557 / +963 949 155 567

Pinapaalalahanan ang lahat na gamitin ang mga numerong ito para sa agarang tulong at impormasyon mula sa embahada o konsulado ng Pilipinas.

Segregation ng basura palalakasin sa San Pablo City

SAN PABLO CITY — Patuloy na isinusulong ng San Pablo City Solid Waste Management Office ang maayos, sistematiko, at epektibong pamamahala ng basura bilang bahagi ng kanilang commitment sa malinis at luntiang kapaligiran, batay sa City Ordinance No. 2003-15 at Republic Act No. 9003 o Ecological Solid Waste Management Act of 2000.

Simula Marso 2, ipinatupad sa 80 barangay ang mga hakbang upang masiguro ang tamang koleksyon at segregation ng basura:

  1. Mahigpit na pagsasagawa ng segregation – paghihiwalay ng nabubulok at hindi nabubulok, pati na rin ng mga recyclable materials.
  2. Pagbabawal ng pagtatapon ng hindi naka-segregate na basura sa landfill.
  3. Mahigpit na pagsunod sa schedule ng koleksyon: nabubulok – Lunes, Miyerkules, at Biyernes; hindi nabubulok – Martes, Huwebes, at Sabado.
  4. Aktibong paggamit ng Materials Recovery Facility/Station (MRF/MRS) upang maproseso at maibalik sa kapaki-pakinabang na gamit ang mga recyclable materials.
  5. Masusing pagrerekord gamit ang logbook para sa waste diversion at tracking ng mga recyclable items.
  6. Pinaigting na pagbabawal sa open burning at indiscriminate disposal, kasabay ng mahigpit na pagmamanman.

Ayon kay Konsehal Ariston A. Amante, Pangulo ng Liga ng mga Barangay, positibo ang naging tugon ng mga barangay sa panawagan ni Engr. Ryla A. Nunag, City Solid Waste Management Officer, upang magkaisa at makipagtulungan para sa matagumpay na implementasyon ng programa.

Nilalayon ng programa na mapanatili ang kalinisan ng kapaligiran, mabawasan ang polusyon, at maprotektahan ang kalusugan ng mga mamamayan, ayon kay Mayor Najie B. Gapangada. Pinapaigting din nito ang kamalayan sa kahalagahan ng tamang segregation ng basura, na mahalagang hakbang upang maibsan ang epekto ng solid waste sa lungsod at sa kapaligiran.

Sa kabila ng ilang hamon sa wastong pamamahala ng basura sa bansa, lalo na sa urban areas, itinuturing ang San Pablo City program bilang halimbawa ng responsableng lokal na pamahalaan na naglalayong itaguyod ang sustainable at eco-friendly na pamumuhay.

Oil prices surge 10% as Iran conflict threatens supply, could hit $100 a barrel

Global oil markets spiked Sunday amid escalating U.S.-Israel-Iran tensions, with Brent crude climbing to around $80 per barrel and analysts warning of further gains if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed.

Oil prices jumped roughly 10% in over-the-counter trading Sunday as renewed military action involving Iran heightened fears of supply disruptions in the Middle East, traders said. Analysts told Reuters that Brent crude could approach or even exceed $100 per barrel if the key shipping route, the Strait of Hormuz, which handles about 20% of global crude exports, remains effectively closed.

“While the military attacks are themselves supportive for oil prices, the key factor here is the closing of the Strait of Hormuz,” said Ajay Parmar, director of energy and refining at ICIS. Many tanker operators, oil majors, and trading houses have suspended shipments of crude, fuel, and liquefied natural gas through the strait after Tehran issued navigation warnings.

Regional leaders have cautioned that a broader conflict could push prices even higher. Analysts from RBC and Barclays have predicted oil could reach $100 per barrel if the situation prolongs.

In response to mounting market pressure, the OPEC+ group announced plans to increase output by 206,000 barrels per day starting in April, a modest rise representing less than 0.2% of global demand.

The Iran conflict has intensified concerns over global energy security, prompting traders and governments to assess stockpiles and explore alternative shipping routes amid growing geopolitical uncertainty.

Global oil markets spiked sharply in early March as escalating military tensions involving the United States, Israel, and Iran drove Brent crude to near $85 per barrel, one of the biggest single‑day jumps in years, with analysts warning additional gains could follow if disruption risks persist, particularly around the strategic Strait of Hormuz. The International Energy Agency said any further escalation could cause sharp volatility in crude markets, while OPEC+ agreed to boost output by 206,000 barrels per day starting in April to help stabilize supplies. Meanwhile, Russia cautioned that the possible closure of the Strait through which roughly a fifth of global oil exports transit could choke global energy flows, prompting calls for de‑escalation. In financial markets, stock exchanges in the United Arab Emirates temporarily halted trading amid the unrest, and investors increasingly turned to safe‑haven assets such as gold and government bonds.

Thousands mourn, some celebrate Khamenei’s death

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates — Tens of thousands of mourners flooded the streets of Tehran and other Iranian cities on Sunday following the killing of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, as the country entered an official 40-day mourning period amid heightened security and mounting regional tensions.

Clad in black, crowds gathered in central Tehran chanting “Death to America” and “Death to Israel,” waving national flags and holding portraits of Khamenei. State television suspended regular programming, airing continuous religious recitations and tributes, while authorities declared seven days of public holidays. Broadcasters said Khamenei’s mission “will be pursued with greater vigour and zeal.”

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian condemned the killing as a “declaration of war against Muslims” by Israel and the United States, vowing that the country would respond. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps echoed that warning, pledging to punish those responsible.

In Mashhad, a black flag was raised over the revered Imam Reza Shrine, while large gatherings were also reported at the Hazrat Masume shrine in Qom. Funeral arrangements for Khamenei were being finalized, with officials indicating that a state ceremony in Tehran is expected in the coming days.

At the same time, authorities increased security deployments across major cities, amid reports of small but visible celebratory gatherings in parts of Tehran and other urban areas. Videos verified by international media showed isolated scenes of fireworks, whistles and cheering shortly after news of Khamenei’s death broke. However, such displays were limited compared to the scale of public mourning.

Analysts note that Iran now faces a pivotal transition. The Assembly of Experts — the clerical body responsible for appointing the supreme leader — is expected to convene to begin the formal succession process. Until a permanent successor is named, senior officials are overseeing governance to maintain continuity within the Islamic Republic’s political and military institutions.

Khamenei, who led Iran for more than three decades, presided over periods of deep internal unrest, including the 1999 and 2009 protest movements and the 2022 “Woman, Life, Freedom” demonstrations sparked by the death of a young woman in police custody. His rule also defined Iran’s posture toward Israel and the United States, shaping the regional alliances and rivalries now at the center of escalating hostilities.

The mourning at home comes as tensions with Israel remain high following cross-border strikes and retaliatory attacks in recent days. Diplomatic efforts at the United Nations have intensified amid fears that further escalation could destabilize the wider Middle East.

As Iran navigates grief, anger and political uncertainty, the selection of its next supreme leader is expected to shape not only the country’s domestic trajectory but also the balance of power across the region.

Israeli assault rocks Tehran as Iran’s counterattacks widen after the killing of its supreme leader

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates — Explosions shook Iran’s capital on Sunday as Israel vowed to carry out “non-stop strikes” against Iranian leadership and military targets, while Tehran retaliated with missile and drone attacks across Israel and several Gulf Arab states following the killing of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

Thick plumes of smoke rose over Tehran after blasts struck areas near the national police headquarters, state television offices, the Revolutionary Court and a Defense Ministry building. The specific targets were not immediately confirmed. In Israel, missile impacts and interceptions were heard across Tel Aviv, with at least six people reported killed in a strike in central Israel, according to emergency officials.

The escalation follows a surprise joint U.S.-Israeli operation that killed Khamenei, marking a dramatic expansion of American involvement in the Middle East under U.S. President Donald Trump. Trump, who campaigned on an “America First” platform and pledged to avoid prolonged foreign conflicts, warned Iran against further retaliation.

“THEY BETTER NOT DO THAT,” Trump wrote on social media. “IF THEY DO, WE WILL HIT THEM WITH A FORCE THAT HAS NEVER BEEN SEEN BEFORE!”

Iran’s parliamentary speaker, Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, issued a stern warning in a televised address: “You have crossed our red line and must pay the price. We will deliver such devastating blows that you yourselves will be driven to beg.”

Regional Fallout

The widening air war has extended beyond Iran and Israel. Shrapnel from Iranian attacks reportedly killed two people in Abu Dhabi, while debris ignited fires near the iconic Burj Al Arab. Saudi Arabia said it intercepted projectiles targeting Riyadh and its eastern region, stressing that it did not allow its territory to be used to launch attacks against Iran.

Jordan reported intercepting 49 drones and ballistic missiles. Kuwait, Bahrain and Qatar also confirmed interceptions. In Iraq, a militant group claimed responsibility for a drone strike near a U.S. air base in Irbil, according to local media.

Flights across parts of the Middle East were disrupted as air defenses activated over major cities, including Dubai.

The conflict has raised concerns over global energy markets, particularly if Iran threatens traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a vital shipping lane that carries roughly 20% of the world’s traded oil.

Casualties and Conflicting Reports

Israeli authorities reported at least seven deaths and more than 120 injuries from Iranian barrages. Emergency service Magen David Adom said rescuers were still searching affected areas in central Israel.

In southern Iran, officials reported at least 115 fatalities after a girls’ school was struck, with dozens more wounded. Israeli and U.S. military spokespeople said they were not aware of operations targeting the school and were reviewing the reports.

Iran’s state news agency IRNA said at least 15 people were killed in the southwest, citing local authorities who reported damage to residential areas and public facilities.

An Iranian diplomat told the United Nations Security Council that hundreds of civilians had been killed or wounded in recent strikes.

Leadership Vacuum and Political Uncertainty

As supreme leader, Khamenei wielded ultimate authority over Iran’s political, military and religious institutions, including the powerful Revolutionary Guard. His death creates a leadership vacuum in the Islamic Republic. Iranian authorities swiftly formed a governing council pending the selection of a new supreme leader.

While some eyewitnesses in Tehran reportedDUBAI, United Arab Emirates — Explosions rocked Tehran for a second consecutive day as Israel intensified what it called “non-stop strikes” against Iranian leadership and military infrastructure, while Iran launched fresh waves of missiles and drones targeting Israel and several Gulf states following the killing of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

Thick plumes of smoke rose over multiple districts of the Iranian capital after strikes reportedly hit areas near the national police headquarters, state television offices, the Revolutionary Court, and a Defense Ministry complex. Iranian authorities have not released a full assessment of the damage, but state media confirmed significant structural destruction in central Tehran.

In Israel, air raid sirens sounded repeatedly across Tel Aviv and central regions as missile interceptions lit up the night sky. Emergency service officials said at least seven people were killed and more than 120 were injured in Iranian barrages, with search operations continuing in heavily affected neighborhoods.

Escalation After Khamenei Killing

The latest violence follows a surprise joint U.S.-Israeli operation that killed Khamenei, marking a dramatic expansion of American involvement in the Middle East under U.S. President Donald Trump.

Trump issued a stark warning against further Iranian retaliation, posting on social media: “THEY BETTER NOT DO THAT. IF THEY DO, WE WILL HIT THEM WITH A FORCE THAT HAS NEVER BEEN SEEN BEFORE!”

Iran’s parliamentary speaker, Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, vowed retaliation in a televised address: “You have crossed our red line and must pay the price. We will deliver such devastating blows that you yourselves will be driven to beg.”

The Iranian government declared 40 days of national mourning and raised a black flag over the Imam Reza shrine in Mashhad. Authorities announced the formation of a temporary governing council pending the selection of a new supreme leader by the Assembly of Experts, though no successor has yet been formally named.

Regional Spillover

The conflict has spilled across the Gulf.

Shrapnel from intercepted projectiles reportedly killed two people in Abu Dhabi, and debris ignited fires near the Burj Al Arab in Dubai. Saudi Arabia said it intercepted missiles targeting Riyadh and its eastern oil-producing region, emphasizing that it did not permit its territory to be used for attacks on Iran.

Jordan reported intercepting dozens of drones and ballistic missiles. Kuwait, Bahrain, and Qatar also confirmed defensive actions.

In Iraq, a militia group claimed responsibility for a drone strike near a U.S. air base in Irbil, raising concerns of wider militia involvement aligned with Tehran.

Commercial aviation across parts of the Middle East faced disruptions as airspace closures and emergency protocols affected flights over the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and eastern Saudi Arabia.

Civilian Toll and Conflicting Accounts

In southern Iran, officials reported at least 115 fatalities after a girls’ school was struck during Israeli operations, with dozens more wounded. Israeli and U.S. military officials said they were not aware of strikes targeting a school and were reviewing the reports.

Iran’s state news agency IRNA also reported at least 15 additional deaths in the southwest, citing local authorities who described damage to residential neighborhoods and public facilities.

An Iranian diplomat told the United Nations Security Council that “hundreds of civilians” had been killed or wounded in recent attacks, though independent verification remains limited.

Energy and Global Market Concerns

The escalation has renewed fears over security in the Strait of Hormuz, the strategic waterway through which roughly one-fifth of the world’s traded oil passes. Any disruption could trigger sharp spikes in global energy prices.

Oil markets reacted nervously in early trading, with analysts warning that sustained hostilities or threats to tanker traffic could rattle global supply chains.

Mounting Political Pressure

The operation has drawn criticism from Democratic lawmakers in Washington, who questioned the lack of explicit congressional authorization. The White House said senior congressional leaders were briefed before the strike.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel would continue operations “for as long as necessary” to neutralize threats, while the Israel Defense Forces confirmed expanded targeting of Iranian command and missile infrastructure.

A Region on Edge

Khamenei’s death removes the Islamic Republic’s most powerful authority figure, creating deep political uncertainty inside Iran at a moment of external war. While some eyewitnesses in Tehran reported isolated rooftop celebrations, authorities enforced strict security measures across major cities.

With missile exchanges continuing and regional actors increasingly drawn into the confrontation, diplomats warned that miscalculation could push the Middle East into a broader and more destabilizing conflict. celebratory scenes, including rooftop cheers, the government declared 40 days of public mourning and a weeklong national holiday. A black flag was raised over the Imam Reza shrine in Mashhad in tribute.

Citing unnamed sources, the semiofficial Fars news agency reported that several relatives of Khamenei were also killed.

Mounting Global Tensions

The latest escalation comes after months of heightened tensions and a 12-day conflict in June that severely weakened Iran’s air defenses and nuclear infrastructure. U.S. officials say intelligence indicates Iran has developed advanced centrifuge capabilities, despite Tehran’s insistence that its nuclear program is peaceful.

Democratic lawmakers in Washington criticized the administration for acting without congressional authorization, though the White House said key congressional leaders had been briefed in advance.

With missile exchanges widening and regional actors increasingly drawn into the conflict, fears are mounting of a prolonged and destabilizing war that could reshape the Middle East and rattle global markets.